Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.695023 5.188420 5.714756 6.318587 6.992900 7.723557 8.576307
2026-01-04 3.944423 4.634298 5.420712 6.386056 7.542598 8.887954 10.577745
2026-01-11 3.380272 4.177062 5.136664 6.383273 7.968375 9.927734 12.550390
2026-01-18 2.931628 3.779656 4.849469 6.308024 8.260036 10.803596 14.403729
2026-01-25 2.576923 3.445669 4.586362 6.208260 8.478474 11.577756 16.188454
2026-02-01 2.293098 3.165741 4.352616 6.104176 8.656023 12.288789 17.942720
2026-02-08 2.060015 2.926165 4.141898 5.997169 8.799911 12.945109 19.669776
2026-02-15 1.883919 2.746871 3.993703 5.956311 9.022895 13.723258 21.652525
2026-02-22 1.778173 2.658168 3.965361 6.085265 9.507489 14.938526 24.458133
2026-03-01 1.647067 2.517705 3.843533 6.052209 9.724653 15.740176 26.660913
2026-03-08 1.501148 2.340851 3.648354 5.879808 9.690565 16.114718 28.157441
2026-03-15 1.398848 2.224016 3.537058 5.831621 9.854375 16.831174 30.333129
2026-03-22 1.341281 2.176915 3.537719 5.976770 10.375283 18.241424 34.000771
2026-03-29 1.282685 2.123262 3.522791 6.093185 10.856844 19.633760 37.823091
2026-04-05 1.212980 2.044921 3.458897 6.115610 11.166837 20.738497 41.220963
2026-04-12 1.136479 1.948611 3.355511 6.055487 11.313091 21.541559 44.101247
2026-04-19 1.062621 1.851206 3.242129 5.965492 11.390433 22.212956 46.785217
2026-04-26 0.994477 1.758931 3.130629 5.868350 11.442079 22.833966 49.435835
2026-05-03 0.931758 1.671987 3.022185 5.767008 11.473660 23.413263 52.064833
2026-05-10 0.882478 1.606485 2.948856 5.728401 11.630129 24.272142 55.457871
2026-05-17 0.857029 1.584115 2.955798 5.852223 12.142055 25.960408 61.077774
2026-05-24 0.815028 1.526880 2.890595 5.820670 12.312291 26.899813 64.976071
2026-05-31 0.761282 1.443114 2.767046 5.655516 12.169200 27.102403 67.019698